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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.08+8.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+0.83vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+1.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+4.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86+0.90vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93-0.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-2.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.01-3.81vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.39-2.54vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-1.79vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.15-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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3.83Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.46Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.73Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.1% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 30.8% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 24.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.