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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+3.96vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+3.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12-0.19vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39+4.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.08+2.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.53+0.83vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.93-4.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.01-5.67vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.15-4.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.81Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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9.22Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.33Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.4% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Ella Towner | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 33.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.