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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+8.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+1.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+5.48vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+1.59vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.15+0.94vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.93-2.56vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.58-5.63vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.53+0.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-5.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.01-6.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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3.66Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.37Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 24.2% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 34.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.