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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.39+7.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+4.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+2.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12-0.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+3.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+1.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30-0.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15+0.08vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.93-3.63vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.08-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-2.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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3.77Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.4% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 30.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.