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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+6.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.07vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.05vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+5.14vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15+4.98vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+1.28vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-0.96vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.08+0.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-4.93vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.53+0.02vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.58-7.57vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.70vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.07Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.14Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.43Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.1% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 33.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.