Race 8B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emma Cowles 19.1% 18.2% 12.4% 11.4% 9.6% 8.8% 6.1% 5.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 8.3% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 5.4% 6.1% 4.8% 1.5%
Sophie Fisher 13.1% 12.8% 12.3% 10.4% 11.2% 8.1% 9.0% 6.7% 6.2% 3.2% 3.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 7.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 9.0% 6.7% 8.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 5.0% 2.9% 1.0%
Katherine McNamara 8.0% 8.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.4% 8.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 8.1% 5.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.5% 1.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 4.7% 5.0% 4.7% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 8.0% 8.8% 4.2%
Oakley Cunningham 5.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 3.7% 6.8% 5.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.9% 9.4% 10.1% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5%
Meredith Broadus 3.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 11.5% 14.1% 16.3%
Sarah Burn 8.6% 9.8% 11.3% 10.4% 8.9% 9.3% 8.4% 8.8% 6.3% 5.1% 5.5% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.2%
Gray Hemans 9.4% 8.0% 11.1% 10.1% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 7.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.0% 4.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Leah Rickard 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 5.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 11.8% 12.2% 14.0%
Mercy Tangredi 2.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 5.1% 6.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.2% 8.5% 7.7% 9.6% 12.3% 13.2% 11.6%
J.J. Smith 6.2% 7.3% 4.2% 8.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.6% 6.9% 5.8% 3.3% 2.4%
Brooke Barry 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.3% 6.2% 5.6% 7.0% 6.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 7.9%
Ella Towner 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.4% 14.5% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.