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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+6.86vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.60+8.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.36+1.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.28vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+3.24vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.79-0.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-4.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-5.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.75-0.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.22-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.5Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.12Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.37Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Allison Prange | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 23.2% |
| Keely Scates | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Ashley Hobson | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.