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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+4.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+4.51vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+1.98vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+0.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30-0.97vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93-0.72vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-0.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00+0.49vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.39-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.53+0.10vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.15-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.22Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 33.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.