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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.22vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+6.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+2.89vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86+2.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-0.98vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.08+0.24vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-4.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-1.06vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.15-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.18Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.67University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.17Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 34.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.