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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+4.07vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+3.79vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+2.65vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30-0.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-1.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.40vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.38-4.90vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-2.10vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.32Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.1Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 31.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.