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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+5.61vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+7.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+2.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+1.28vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-2.61vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93-0.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00+0.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-3.85vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.79vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.38-6.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.08-3.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.53-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.39Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.29Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 12.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.