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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+6.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+5.10vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+1.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+3.49vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.90+3.43vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-2.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+3.67vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.30-0.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.83-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37+0.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.31-7.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.81-4.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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4.53Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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4.31Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.05Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.27Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 21.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Wang | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 42.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.