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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+3.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+2.22vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.57+3.20vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.12+6.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.81+3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.37+5.63vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-2.93vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.30-0.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+0.60vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.56-4.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-3.65vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.90-4.62vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.83-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.22Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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4.57Stanford University2.470.2%1st Place
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7.2Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.5% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 21.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 40.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.