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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.30vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.57+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+3.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.20vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.47-1.44vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.90+1.44vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.81+0.66vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.31-4.87vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.30-2.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.37+0.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.83-6.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-2.43vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.12-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.14Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.33University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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4.56Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.96Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 18.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 42.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.