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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+8.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+2.45vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+1.31vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.30+4.13vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.57+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56+1.37vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50+0.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-2.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-4.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.81-0.22vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+0.53vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.83-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.90-3.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.12-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.37-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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4.45Stanford University2.470.2%1st Place
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4.31Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.34Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.7% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 20.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.