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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.57+6.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+4.25vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90+5.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+4.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83+0.43vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.30+1.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50-0.51vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.47-4.47vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.31-4.87vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.31-5.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.81-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.37-0.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.12-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.27Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.25University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.53Stanford University2.470.2%1st Place
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5.13Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 42.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.