← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.47+3.53vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.57+5.12vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.30+5.07vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.56+0.35vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.31+0.10vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.83+0.44vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.56+0.25vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.15vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.50-1.55vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.90-0.54vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.31-5.86vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.14-0.19vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University0.12-1.21vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.81-4.34vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.37-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.12Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
-
8.07Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
-
4.35Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.44Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.25University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.45Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.14Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
11.81University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.79Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.66Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
-
12.69University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 13.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 21.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 21.8% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.