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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.33vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90+5.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56+2.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.81+3.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.14+4.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.31-2.96vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.83-2.62vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.57-2.64vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.30-2.74vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.31-9.04vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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4.54Stanford University2.470.2%1st Place
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9.4University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.04Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.36Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.96Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Harned | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 21.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 45.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.