← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.56+3.32vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.31+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.31+1.97vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.57+3.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.90+4.38vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.50+1.54vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.83-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.19vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.47-4.48vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.81-0.26vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.56-3.63vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.12-0.13vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.14-1.30vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont-0.37-1.31vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.30-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.32Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
-
4.9Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.97Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.28Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
-
9.38University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.54Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
4.52Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.74Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.37University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
11.87Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.69University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.1Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.1% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wang | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 22.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 39.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.