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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+3.58vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.57+5.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+1.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+2.44vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.30+3.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31-1.01vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-2.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.90-0.53vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12+0.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-1.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.81-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.37-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Stanford University2.470.2%1st Place
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7.12Tulane University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.23Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.99Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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4.31Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Pilar Cundey | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.7% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| Emma Wang | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.