Race 12C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emma Wang 3.8% 4.5% 4.0% 3.3% 5.3% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 9.0% 8.4% 8.7% 9.8% 11.9% 7.5% 4.0%
Zoey Ziskind 18.5% 15.1% 14.3% 11.9% 9.5% 9.0% 6.9% 4.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Pilar Cundey 4.4% 4.9% 6.0% 5.6% 7.0% 6.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 10.0% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 4.3% 1.3%
Kailey Warrior 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 7.2% 8.5% 5.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 7.7% 9.3% 6.7% 4.3% 2.9% 0.6%
Ellie Harned 14.9% 14.3% 12.4% 10.9% 11.7% 9.6% 8.4% 5.8% 4.5% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Lucy Spearman 5.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.5% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Olivia Drulard 13.4% 11.7% 11.6% 12.5% 12.2% 9.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Tavia Smith 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 7.6% 5.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 9.4% 10.6% 7.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0%
Megan Grimes 13.0% 12.7% 13.2% 11.6% 9.1% 11.0% 9.3% 7.2% 4.6% 3.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Emily Mueller 6.9% 9.2% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 7.4% 6.2% 6.9% 4.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Martha Schuessler 2.7% 3.4% 2.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.8% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 12.2% 11.0% 9.3% 5.8%
Annecy Kagan 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 10.4% 10.4% 12.0% 13.0% 11.5% 5.4%
Ariana Schwartz 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 2.6% 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 9.1% 15.8% 20.2% 20.7%
Sylvia Burns 1.7% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 4.7% 6.1% 5.2% 7.1% 10.3% 14.8% 18.2% 20.5%
Jordynn Johnson 0.8% 1.4% 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.5% 7.8% 10.1% 19.3% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.