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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.67+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+1.07vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.80+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.54vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.60-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Middlebury College-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.2%1st Place
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3.67Middlebury College-1.800.1%1st Place
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2.46University of New Hampshire-0.780.3%1st Place
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2.3Williams College-0.600.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Trigg | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 31.9% |
| Andy Giaya | 15.3% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 17.1% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 37.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 28.7% | 26.7% | 21.8% | 15.2% | 7.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 34.5% | 25.4% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.