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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+2.08vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.60+0.27vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.67+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.52vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.80-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.2%1st Place
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2.27Williams College-0.600.3%1st Place
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3.5Middlebury College-1.670.1%1st Place
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2.48University of New Hampshire-0.780.3%1st Place
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3.67Middlebury College-1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Giaya | 17.5% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 19.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 33.5% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 13.2% | 4.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 11.0% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 26.0% | 30.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 28.0% | 24.7% | 25.2% | 15.3% | 6.8% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.