← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.48vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College-1.67+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Williams College-0.60-0.75vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.80-0.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48University of New Hampshire-0.780.3%1st Place
-
3.53Middlebury College-1.670.1%1st Place
-
2.25Williams College-0.600.3%1st Place
-
3.66Middlebury College-1.800.1%1st Place
-
3.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Krajewski | 29.2% | 25.2% | 22.7% | 13.9% | 9.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 10.0% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 30.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 35.0% | 27.6% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 37.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 16.5% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 24.7% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.