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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+2.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22+6.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.18vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.76-0.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-3.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.79-0.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-4.22vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.60-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.90vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-1.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.75-2.59vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.32-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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12.21Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 21.4% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Keely Scates | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Allison Prange | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.