← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+2.54vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.85vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.72vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.07-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.81-0.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia-0.43+0.45vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.51-2.18vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-1.07-0.55vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.07-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54U. S. Naval Academy1.170.2%1st Place
-
3.85Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
-
3.61Old Dominion University1.070.2%1st Place
-
4.1Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.45University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
-
4.82Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
-
7.45William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
-
7.45American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 19.3% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 13.3% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Kleha | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 18.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 21.4% | 24.2% | 15.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 27.9% | 38.1% |
| Anika Liner | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 25.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.