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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.82vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+2.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.62vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.50vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.07-2.29vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.40-0.38vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.51-3.12vs Predicted
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9American University-1.07-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.49Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Naval Academy1.170.2%1st Place
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.71Old Dominion University1.070.2%1st Place
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6.62William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.88Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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7.66American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.6% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 18.7% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 18.2% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 21.0% |
| Milo Miller | 16.4% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 26.1% | 19.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| Anika Liner | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.