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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.43+4.82vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.81vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+0.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.07-1.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.17-2.41vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.51-2.07vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.40-1.44vs Predicted
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9American University-1.07-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.82University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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4.2Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.7Old Dominion University1.070.2%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy1.170.2%1st Place
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4.93Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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6.56William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.63American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.2% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 26.4% | 23.2% |
| Max Kleha | 16.0% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.1% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 18.6% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 21.0% |
| Anika Liner | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.