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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+3.33vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.51+3.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.07+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-1.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.17-3.41vs Predicted
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8American University-1.07-0.41vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.40-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.05Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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3.83Old Dominion University1.070.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.72Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy1.170.2%1st Place
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7.59American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.55William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Milo Miller | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 22.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 18.1% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Max Kleha | 16.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 19.1% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Anika Liner | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 49.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.