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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.43+4.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.64vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+0.21vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.07-1.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.25vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.51-2.08vs Predicted
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8American University-1.07-0.40vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.40-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.82University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Naval Academy1.170.2%1st Place
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4.21Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University1.070.2%1st Place
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3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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4.92Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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7.6American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.56William and Mary-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.3% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 23.4% |
| Robert Ziman | 17.5% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Milo Miller | 18.1% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Max Kleha | 17.4% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Anika Liner | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 49.6% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.