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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+2.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University0.49+2.45vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.72vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.24+1.53vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.90+0.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.27-2.32vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.89-1.28vs Predicted
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9American University-1.50-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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2.28Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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5.53Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.61Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.72William and Mary-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.6American University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 17.2% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 7.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 39.4% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 6.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.9% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 25.3% | 20.1% |
| Logan Hayes | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 22.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.