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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36+4.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.11vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+0.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16+5.05vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-4.77vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-3.41vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.60-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32+2.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine2.22-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.75-0.58vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-7.92vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.54Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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12.05Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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4.23Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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8.08University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.5% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 17.6% | 40.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
| Allison Prange | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Keely Scates | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.