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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+2.84vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.49+1.35vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85-0.45vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-1.68vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.44vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.89-0.22vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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4.35Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.55Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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5.56Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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6.78William and Mary-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.62American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 38.8% | 25.6% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.1% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.3% | 22.0% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 25.4% | 20.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 48.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.