← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.77+1.28vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.85+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.49+1.34vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.70vs Predicted
-
5Washington College-0.24+0.46vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.27-1.35vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.50+0.67vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.89-1.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia-0.90-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
-
3.84Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
-
4.34Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
-
3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
-
5.46Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.65U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
-
7.67American University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
6.71William and Mary-0.890.0%1st Place
-
6.75University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.4% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 11.9% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 9.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.2% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Collinson | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 7.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 48.9% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 24.7% | 20.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 27.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.