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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.27vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+1.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.40vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.89-0.20vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.79Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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4.18Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.6Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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6.8William and Mary-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.63American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 38.8% | 25.9% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 11.2% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mats Braaten | 18.2% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 25.9% | 20.3% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 47.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 24.3% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.