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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.54vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+0.64vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.49+0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.27-0.45vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50+1.56vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.24-1.42vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.07-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.64Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.16Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.56American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.58Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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6.97William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 38.7% | 26.1% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 13.3% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Friedauer | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 42.8% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 6.0% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 25.9% | 25.9% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 22.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.