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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.27+1.69vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.85-0.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.49-0.83vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.24-0.45vs Predicted
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7American University-1.50+0.63vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.07-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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3.54Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.17Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.55Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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7.63American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.96William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.4% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 13.5% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Logan Hayes | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 46.1% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 20.3% | 24.1% | 25.7% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 25.4% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.