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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Friedauer 10.6% 12.4% 13.9% 16.6% 17.8% 14.4% 9.0% 3.9% 1.4%
Matthew Collinson 3.9% 4.5% 7.5% 11.5% 13.6% 18.7% 18.7% 14.7% 6.9%
Valerio Palamara 38.8% 24.5% 17.5% 11.4% 5.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Mats Braaten 17.0% 19.7% 21.0% 16.5% 13.3% 8.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Aston Atherton 15.3% 20.9% 16.9% 15.5% 13.4% 9.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Logan Hayes 7.2% 10.9% 12.7% 16.0% 16.5% 17.1% 12.0% 5.9% 1.7%
Amelia Levine 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 7.2% 10.3% 17.6% 27.4% 25.3%
Ryan Curtis 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.9% 7.9% 13.4% 20.6% 44.8%
Mason Chapman 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 5.5% 8.7% 12.3% 20.2% 24.1% 19.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.