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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.49+3.26vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.24+3.72vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.67vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85-1.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.27-1.37vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.070.00vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.72Washington College-0.240.0%1st Place
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2.28Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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7.0William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.55American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Collinson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 38.8% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 17.0% | 19.7% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.3% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Logan Hayes | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 27.4% | 25.3% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 44.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.