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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emma Friedauer 10.8% 11.3% 14.2% 18.0% 16.6% 13.1% 11.0% 3.9% 1.1%
Logan Hayes 6.3% 9.7% 12.0% 14.2% 18.2% 17.1% 13.6% 6.7% 2.2%
Valerio Palamara 37.8% 27.2% 16.8% 10.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mats Braaten 17.8% 20.6% 18.5% 16.7% 13.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Collinson 5.1% 5.8% 11.1% 11.4% 12.8% 15.4% 18.7% 13.5% 6.2%
Aston Atherton 15.0% 18.2% 17.5% 16.8% 14.5% 11.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Amelia Levine 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 4.7% 6.1% 12.4% 16.7% 27.0% 25.3%
Ryan Curtis 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 8.2% 12.3% 21.1% 45.3%
Mason Chapman 2.9% 2.8% 4.8% 4.3% 9.4% 12.7% 19.0% 24.7% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.