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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.49+3.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+2.81vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.67vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.24+0.47vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.85-2.39vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.070.00vs Predicted
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8American University-1.50-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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2.27Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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5.47Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.61Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.0William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.57American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Logan Hayes | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 37.8% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 17.8% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.0% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 25.3% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 45.3% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 24.7% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.