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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.49+1.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.27+0.55vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85-1.44vs Predicted
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6American University-1.50+1.56vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.24-1.42vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.07-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.90-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.29Old Dominion University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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7.56American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.58Washington College-0.240.1%1st Place
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6.97William and Mary-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Virginia-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.7% | 24.7% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 14.1% | 18.5% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 8.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Logan Hayes | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 16.9% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 24.5% | 42.9% |
| Matthew Collinson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 26.4% |
| Mason Chapman | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.