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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Valerio Palamara 39.7% 24.7% 17.4% 10.4% 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Mats Braaten 14.1% 18.5% 21.5% 16.7% 14.3% 8.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Emma Friedauer 8.7% 13.4% 13.5% 18.3% 16.8% 14.8% 10.1% 3.6% 0.8%
Logan Hayes 8.7% 10.6% 12.9% 16.2% 17.0% 15.6% 11.1% 6.1% 1.8%
Aston Atherton 16.9% 19.5% 17.2% 14.2% 13.8% 9.9% 5.3% 3.0% 0.2%
Ryan Curtis 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 6.6% 12.0% 24.5% 42.9%
Matthew Collinson 5.0% 5.8% 7.6% 10.2% 14.1% 19.1% 18.8% 13.2% 6.2%
Amelia Levine 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.5% 6.7% 11.5% 17.4% 24.9% 26.4%
Mason Chapman 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 5.8% 8.1% 11.8% 20.2% 22.8% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.