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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+1.68vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.39vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.59-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.77vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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2.79Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.61University of New Hampshire-0.130.3%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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4.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.42Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 24.5% | 25.8% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 24.3% | 22.4% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 2.6% |
| Sean Lund | 27.0% | 24.2% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Colby Green | 15.7% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 4.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 34.0% | 19.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.