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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+6.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+8.16vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.51+6.43vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+2.19vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10+3.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97+1.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99+0.22vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-2.27vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-1.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22+0.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.60-3.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-1.37vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.71-10.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-3.78vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.77-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Stanford University3.3020.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.096.2%1st Place
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11.16Harvard University2.103.1%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.205.1%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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8.19Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College2.103.6%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University1.974.5%1st Place
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9.22Brown University1.994.7%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston1.814.4%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.5%1st Place
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10.65University of South Florida1.602.9%1st Place
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13.63Tufts University0.661.6%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.7111.6%1st Place
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13.22George Washington University0.931.6%1st Place
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8.34University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.1% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 26.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 21.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.