← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University3.06+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.00+2.75vs Predicted
-
3Brown University4.30-0.70vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.72+1.05vs Predicted
-
5Wesleyan University1.71+1.92vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+0.23vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.58vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.50-2.41vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.11-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.75Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
-
2.3Brown University4.300.4%1st Place
-
5.05Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.92Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
-
6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
-
5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.59Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decesar | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Hession | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 39.3% | 27.0% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hughes | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Dylan Griffin | 2.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 39.0% |
| Michael Reney | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| William Cotta | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Viktor Bolmgren | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Quentin Chafee | 11.6% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.