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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Eric Decesar 11.6% 13.9% 13.4% 12.6% 15.3% 11.3% 10.3% 8.1% 3.5%
Michael Hession 7.9% 11.9% 13.8% 13.0% 15.3% 13.4% 10.0% 9.5% 5.2%
Tommy Fink 39.3% 27.0% 13.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Hughes 8.4% 9.3% 12.9% 11.3% 12.5% 13.2% 13.9% 10.9% 7.6%
Dylan Griffin 2.8% 3.2% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 8.9% 9.8% 16.2% 39.0%
Michael Reney 4.2% 5.8% 7.2% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 16.2% 19.4% 19.9%
William Cotta 6.8% 7.4% 9.8% 11.3% 11.8% 15.4% 15.0% 13.5% 9.0%
Viktor Bolmgren 7.4% 6.9% 8.7% 11.1% 11.1% 12.7% 14.0% 15.2% 12.9%
Quentin Chafee 11.6% 14.6% 13.9% 14.8% 12.7% 12.7% 9.9% 7.0% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.