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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.69vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.59+1.23vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.26-0.21vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.76vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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3.23Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.79Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.63Bates College-0.110.3%1st Place
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4.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 24.5% | 25.8% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Colby Green | 16.7% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 5.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 23.4% | 21.4% | 22.8% | 19.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 26.7% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 35.3% | 19.5% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 17.3% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.