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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.61vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.12vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.26-2.04vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Bates College-0.110.3%1st Place
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2.61University of New Hampshire-0.130.3%1st Place
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3.24Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.96Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
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5.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 25.5% | 24.4% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Sean Lund | 28.4% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Colby Green | 15.6% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 25.5% | 17.3% | 4.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 35.5% | 16.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 20.6% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 4.6% |
| Samuel Ott | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.