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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.63vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44+0.39vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Bates College-0.110.3%1st Place
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2.63University of New Hampshire-0.130.3%1st Place
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3.27Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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2.86Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 25.4% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Sean Lund | 27.6% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Colby Green | 15.9% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 4.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 35.2% | 17.6% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 13.7% | 71.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 22.3% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.