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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.26+1.89vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.92vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.64Bates College-0.110.3%1st Place
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2.68University of New Hampshire-0.130.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.45Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 20.6% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Colby Green | 16.7% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 6.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 26.7% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Sean Lund | 26.1% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Cole Perra | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 33.8% | 16.1% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.