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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.65vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.26-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.02vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.59-1.59vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Bates College-0.110.2%1st Place
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2.65University of New Hampshire-0.130.3%1st Place
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2.81Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.41Bates College-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.44Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 24.8% | 23.6% | 22.3% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Sean Lund | 27.2% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 23.3% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 1.8% |
| Cole Perra | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 34.8% | 13.1% |
| Colby Green | 13.7% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 8.0% |
| Samuel Ott | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.