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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.11+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+1.97vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.59+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.30vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.44+0.41vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.26-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Bates College-0.110.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.31Bates College-0.590.2%1st Place
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2.7University of New Hampshire-0.130.2%1st Place
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5.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.440.0%1st Place
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2.9Middlebury College-0.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Stevenson | 25.9% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Cole Perra | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 33.5% | 15.0% |
| Colby Green | 16.1% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 5.3% |
| Sean Lund | 24.6% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 9.4% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Ott | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 12.7% | 72.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 21.7% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.