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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.22+8.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.76+2.96vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+7.44vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+2.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+1.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-0.66vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.60+1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-3.16vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.51-8.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-7.06vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.75-1.53vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.85vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-2.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Irvine2.220.0%1st Place
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5.96Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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11.44Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College2.600.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.84Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.47University of Minnesota1.750.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Hobson | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 22.5% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Allison Prange | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 41.9% |
| Keely Scates | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.