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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+7.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.22vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00-1.14vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.30vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.62+4.07vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-5.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-2.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.65vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.50-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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5.67Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.86Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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14.07Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.37Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 51.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 14.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.